Friday, March 23, 2007

who will get the short straw?

The political news cycle continues to be caught up in the moment. but there is some future-looking news worth thinking about. A news blurb the other day mentions the continuing population decline in Allegheny County. What does this mean politically. I have projected that Allegheny County is likely to lose 2 state legislative districts after the not-too-distant census in 2010. Which two? who knows. The political deal last time around was that the different parties essentially controlled the redistricting of state offices within different parts of the state. In and around Pittsburgh, Dems had greater say compared to other parts of the state where Republicans pretty much controlled the process. Other factors come up. Retirements could play a role as could who is on the outs with party leadership at the time. 2010 may seem like a long time from now, but it really isn't. I bet someone has started to fire up those computer models.

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