Thursday, November 08, 2007

more factoids from Tuesday

Factoids from the election returns pertaining to the City of Pittsburgh:

Total ballots cast: 70,594

Total votes for all mayoral candidates including write-in: 68,453





Which means that 2,141 showed up but just didn't make a choice among the mayoral candidates. Sort of makes it the "none of the above" choice. I don't know what is typical, but that does not sound like that big a number.


Total straight Democratic ticket votes: 21,781

Total straight Republican ticket votes: 2,685

Total number of registered voters: 227,641

Turnout: 31%

I think others have compiled the election returns by ward, but what about by city council district. That looks like this:


Or how about by race. If you categorize each voting district by its demographics you get this scatterplot:

I think the last chart is pretty important. Its hard to explain how many people told me over the last couple months that the Black community was going to come out for MD. Lots and lots of people said this to me and it was supposed to be one of the defining strengths of the campaign. Yet all the people saying that to me were white. Every single Black person I know or talked to in recent months may not have been huge LR fans but they were generally pretty supportive of LR at least to the degree that they really thought he was doing a pretty good job considering the circumstances. Whether you agree or not with that judgement is not the point (or at least not my point at the moment), but why did one group of people so badly mispercieve the actual voting intentions of the other. It really was just so odd watching the news, reading blog comments or talking with friends who all painted a different picture from what I heard myself and what the voting results showed on Tuesday. It's a rhetorical question unfortunately, but do we communicate that badly. If there is a story in this election, it's tied up in how badly two groups understood each other. There were similar incongruities in what I heard about other groups, but it was just so extreme in the case of African Americans. I could work to put a slightly more precise number on it, but Black voting for LR was clearly over 90%, possibly near 95% on average across the city.

12 Comments:

Blogger Jonathan Potts said...

And yet the bloggers issuing blanket -- and nastily worded --condemnations of older voters and blue-collar voters for supporting Ravenstahl won't dare say the same things about the city's black voters, I'd wager.

Thursday, November 08, 2007 10:18:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The nasty comments having been going both ways by the way.

Support one republican and all of a sudden, I'm wearing leather pants and drinking frappachino.

Thursday, November 08, 2007 12:28:00 PM  
Blogger Richmond K. Turner said...

Chris, to what extent is the percent black variable correlated with straight-ticket voting?

Thursday, November 08, 2007 12:52:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Any credibility MD had in the balck ward he lost when he was in favor of eliminating the residency requirements for FOP.

the vision of cops from brentwood patroling city streets was very much the conversation in the black community.

Thursday, November 08, 2007 2:55:00 PM  
Blogger Jonathan Potts said...

Wow. What does it say about the political blogosphere that none of us even discussed how the police endorsement and related issues would play among black voters?

Thursday, November 08, 2007 3:18:00 PM  
Blogger CapitolMAN said...

After the QED debate, I wrote extensively about DeSantis' failures to communicate with the black community. He did a lousy job connecting their disillusionment to the city's Democratic machine.

But he's not a rah-rah campaigner and therefore, never stoked African-American anger with property crime, drug dealing, gang wars, and high unemployment.

Ravenstahl deftly turned the FOP endorsement into a liability for DeSantis.

The real problem with the residency requirement is that it selectively favors white, wealthier neighborhoods. Residency is a boon for Summer Hill and Stanton Heights. But what does it mean for Homewood or Lincoln-Lemington? Perhaps DeSantis could have considered tax incentives for police officers to live in high-crime neighborhoods.

Thursday, November 08, 2007 4:30:00 PM  
Blogger Jonathan Potts said...

I'm sorry I didn't read what you wrote.

Thursday, November 08, 2007 5:04:00 PM  
Blogger Bram Reichbaum said...

"Wow. What does it say about the political blogosphere that none of us even discussed how the police endorsement and related issues would play among black voters?"

1. It's white
2. By that very late stage of the game (3 weeks before the election?), the political blogosphere was acting intentionally on behalf of MD and disinclined say anything critical of him at all.

Thursday, November 08, 2007 8:14:00 PM  
Blogger Jonathan Potts said...

It was somewhat of a rhetorical question, but I do think a lot of white people forget how important police issues are in the black community. It never occurred to me that black voters would be alarmed at the thought of cops rolling for their shift from a lilly-white suburb. (Of course, how many cops live in the Hill or Homewood, I wonder.)

Thursday, November 08, 2007 10:07:00 PM  
Blogger Mark Rauterkus said...

Bram, don't speak for the world of bloggers. That is just going to get you into all sorts of hot water that I'd hate to see you swim with.

The whole of the political blogosphere was not acting intentionally on behalf of DeSantis I didn't. And, Tom (running mate at my blog) ripped into DeSantis on the police resident issue.

Plus, Dave Adams, while not a 'true blogger' -- (black guy) -- did have a toe hold with my blog and my DVDs, etc.

Team DeSantis and the candidate didn't connect with Dave Adams, an ex-Marine, ex-Republican, guy with a crime plan, candidate in city council d9. Adams hosted a TV show for DeSantis. (It will go on the web later, after the fact.) It played 10 times or so.

Oh well.

I understood that DeSantis was going to get plastered in the 9th. And, he could have fixed it. He should have. I tried.

Thursday, November 08, 2007 10:08:00 PM  
Blogger C. Briem said...

Ill see about parsing the straight ticket voting data. -C

Thursday, November 08, 2007 11:26:00 PM  
Blogger Unknown said...


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Monday, December 10, 2018 8:49:00 PM  

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