Monday, November 09, 2009

the next race

For those political junkies already experiencing withdrawal there is something coming up.  With Walko heading to the bench... O'Toole has one of the first reads on the race to replace him in Harrisburg

I had maps of the last time the seat was contested.  See the election returns for Banahasky, Purcell and Walko in the spring 2006 primary for the 20th State House District.    O'Toole mentions Paul McKrell as being interested in the race.  He must have moved out of the 21'st district where he once looked to run.  I kind of wondered if another 21st district denizen would move a few blocks to be eligible to run for this seat.  That is nothing more than idle musing to be clear, but I speak of Len B. who I suspect must live within blocks of the district 20. It would be a stronger base to leverage his Lawrenceville support actually compared to District 21 where he, Dom Costa and Brenda Frazier really split the vote a nearly perfect 3 ways in the last election.   I also just realized, this must be the mayor's home district as well.  Who knows what that means?

Of course there is this other question of who is going to take over the as the chairman of the PWSA which might be a position in the news.


Anonymous Anonymous said...

Surprised to not see any coverage of the Orie-Melvin win and what it might mean for redistricting after the 2010 census... Did I come to the wrong place?

Monday, November 09, 2009 1:33:00 PM  
Blogger Bram Reichbaum said...

Maybe this is a good opportunity to begin shrinking the size of the State Legislature by attrition.

Monday, November 09, 2009 1:46:00 PM  
Blogger Lady Elaine said...

Word out--Jake Wheatley's seat is targeted, not Walko's, for redistricting, and the two neighboring districts (Walko and Costa) will just absorb Wheatley's people.

Monday, November 09, 2009 7:28:00 PM  
Blogger C. Briem said...

There would be some serious legal issues with trying to get rid of a majority minority district.

Population loss not withstanding 19 was ~60% African American in 2000 and for there not to be a minority district there post 2010 would be litigated I have to believe... certainly would be a PR nightmare for whomever would try that. But we are far from figuring how the process plays out to seriously be considering who is or isn't 'targeted'.

Monday, November 09, 2009 7:53:00 PM  
Blogger Lady Elaine said...

You have to remember back in 2000, Mayernik was the guy they were trying to get rid of. Wheatley (Bill Robison at the time) was never intended to be a predominently African American district. But to get rid of Mayernick, aka DeWeese pisser-offer, they made it that way.

So, come forward to 2010 redistricting plans . . . Either Joe Preston will get it all, and make it a mega AA district, or split it up and make it more evenly split. Wheatley and Preston will have to duke it out.

Monday, November 09, 2009 9:32:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

great Paul McKrell...what exactly has he done other than give us boring ass quotes about the Mayor and call people out when they dont support the mayor??

Monday, November 09, 2009 9:47:00 PM  
Blogger C. Briem said...

Robinson has been there since the 80's and before that it was K. Leroy Irvis. So it's been an African American representing the district for some time?

with 130K African Americans in Allegheny county if two 60K state districts are not majority minority it will be an issue. Granted there is only one true majority minority county council district but that is an issue unto itself.

Monday, November 09, 2009 9:49:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

It's ashamed that Selena from Doug's office decided not to run for the job, she would have been great.

Too bad Doug wouldn't support his own chief of staff.

Tuesday, November 10, 2009 12:33:00 PM  
Blogger C. Briem said...

Selena has a new job n'est-ce pa?

Tuesday, November 10, 2009 12:40:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Well this is an interesting piece of news: (Trib, 10/18/09)

SHIELDS STAFFER SPLITS. Pittsburgh City Council President Doug Shields is losing his chief of staff.

Selena Schmidt, who has worked for Shields for three years, is leaving at the end of the month to join the Power of 32 -- and no, that's not the nostalgia-obsessed fan club of former Steelers great Franco Harris.

The Power of 32 is an initiative attempting to forge a regional vision among 32 adjoining counties in Pennsylvania, Ohio, West Virginia and Maryland.

The organization is headed by former state Sen. Allen Kukovich of Manor, a Democrat. He most recently served as the head of Gov. Ed Rendell's southwest regional office in Pittsburgh.

Tuesday, November 10, 2009 2:32:00 PM  
Anonymous Patrick said...

I believe you are mistaken. Wheatley's district has been a minority-majority district since WWII, maybe even before (tough to tell exactly, since the districts back in those days elected more than one house member). It will stay that way, although it won't be much over 50% black, since it barely is now. The Mayernik business had nothing to do with Jake's seat.
It's true that it will have to expand geographically, since it lost population, but it won't go as far out as East Liberty or Garfield.

Tuesday, November 10, 2009 6:58:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Selena took the new job after Shields told her in some unpleasant words that he would not support her in her race to be elected.

Pretty nice guy/boss/friend eh?

Tuesday, November 10, 2009 11:53:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

If Selena can't handle Doug's nuttiness, then maybe she's not cut out for politics. But I don't think that's really the reason that she left, considering that she might be considering a run for a state job and took a job that involves making contacts in other parts of the state. But besides that, and just out of curiosity:
Why is Selena all that?
Would she really need support for a state legislature job from Doug?
Who replaced her in Doug's office?

Thursday, November 12, 2009 9:05:00 AM  
Blogger Lady Elaine said...


The remaining communities in the North are predominantly white. To add minority voters to Wheatley's district, they would have to expand East to an already shrinking population. And to an already shrinking minority district.

It comes down to one of us is right and one of us is wrong.

Republicans have the courts because the transit workers went on strike in Philadelphia--how's that for consequences?

And who will they be more sympathetic to? A Republican plan, or a Democratic plan?

Selena's working with Alan Kukovich. Doug and her split while ago. I don't see her running for the seat, especially knowing Kukovich invested in hiring her.

She is still out there, going to different events on the Northside, being visable, maybe a "just in case," but I doubt it. One really has to be motivated to run for a seat this big.

Friday, November 13, 2009 11:07:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

There were 2 African American districts drawn up because Mike Veon wanted it that way. All the bad things you might have to say about him, he cared deeply about that issue.

Paul McKrell is a solid candidate and has lived in the 20th all his life except when he had an apartment in Bloomfield for a few years.

While his most recent gig was with the mayor, he was Executive Director of the Pennsylvania Young Democrats and the College Democrats. He also helped on Hillary's campaign in 2008.

The 20th District is not just home to Ravenstahl, but Onorato lives in the district also. I believe the committee will pick who the mayor would like to fill this seat. I know the 20th district well and have met most of the candidates. I believe McKrell would do a hell of a job, even if the seat might be eliminated in the redistricting.

Sunday, January 10, 2010 1:04:00 PM  
Blogger C. Briem said...

You realize this post is from 2 months ago?

Lest anyone get confused... if someone had really tried to get rid of sh 19 in something resembling its current form there would be a fairly straightforward Federal lawsuit.

anyway.. I'm a defender in general of anonymous posts.. but if you really are going to make an impassioned defense of someone, don't you think it would make sense to sign it somehow. If not it comes across as if you are Paul himself. Not saying you are.. but otherwise it's just noise.

and only because this post is so old and being read by those trolling in a sense.. I don't think that is quite right on Paul. didnt he grow up in Bloomfield? Bloomfield has been mostly 21 for decades. Not that big a point.

anyway. this post does seem to be generating some interest. For those reading. The noise was that one of mayor's brothers will be running for this seat. Looks like that is not going to be the case. Will be interesting how many folks run for this seat.

Sunday, January 10, 2010 2:04:00 PM  
Blogger Lady Elaine said...

So far, here's who will be running:

Dan Keller--Brighton Heights--the ONLY one who has announced.
Tim Tunstra--Observatory Hill.
Mark Purcell--West View.
Paul McKrell--Stanton Heights.

The Mayor's brother is not running, from what I hear.

Selena Schmidt is still acting like she is running, but doubtful she will ever get it off the ground.

Blahblahblah about McKrell, anon. 1:04. Political Hack. And spare me the whole "he saved Schenley" thing, Bram. It's one thing to run for office when you feel you are trying to help people and you are your own person. It is entirely different if you are qualified to do nothing else. It's like he's perpetually running for high school president. No, no, no.

Monday, January 11, 2010 12:42:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I was anonymous at Sunday, January 10, 2010 1:04:00 PM. I am not Paul McKrell, but I do need to keep my identity private because of people that I work for would not approve of me giving my own opinions on blog sites.

I know Paul from Young Democrat gatherings a few years back and I am interested in all of the candidates that are possibly running for State House in the North Hills this cycle. I did some random blog searching via google blog search on their names, so hence why my post was 2 months after the original blog posting happened.

I would love to know if there is a Democrat looking to run in the 28th District against Mike Turzai. There has to be a young Democrat willing to take on that blow hard Turzai.

Monday, January 11, 2010 2:00:00 PM  
Blogger C. Briem said...

I didn't say you need to identify yourself, but pseudonymity is a standard way to have some credibility. It was just odd to throw a comment into a thread dead for 2 months. But you certainly have livened it up.

Hard to imagine a D taking on Turzai. I will have to compute it, but I bet his district had the lowest Obama returns in the region. That and I think he has money built up.

Tunstra's facebook says he is running. I was half joking whenI suggested it.. but have susequently heard solidly that Bodack was at least making some calls on getting into the race even though he would have a residency issue. I'm not saying I'm expecting it, but nothing is sacrosanct in politics.

Monday, January 11, 2010 7:44:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I can only ‘try’ to spice up state house elections on blogs, since only 5% of the population actually pays attention to state house races. I know there are more that actually vote in mid term elections, but how many really know what is going on?

I know that a D can't win in the 28th, but I would hope someone would step up and at least force him to spend some money. I wonder if there are any elected D's on local councils up that way. I thought there was a young Dem from the North Hills that talked about it a few years ago, but I can’t remember his name.

I wouldn't put anything past Bodack. He had $10K on hand after he lost the 21st District Primary. Why he didn't spend it, I will never know.

My understanding of the residency is that he needed to move before November 2, 2009. I thought you needed a year of residency for State Rep.

Monday, January 11, 2010 10:37:00 PM  
Blogger C. Briem said...

There is a residency requirement.. but also plenty of Bodack property around including some in 20. Far be it from us to presume where he claims to habitate these days. Walko's been known to be moving on since well before November. Anyone check his voter registration of late? But he probably didn't spend the campaign account because it was not really conceived that he would lose. Nonetheless, I would be surprised if he really went ahead with it.

Monday, January 11, 2010 10:44:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

True, I forgot how much property the Bodack's own.

I heard Walko promised out his office furniture to other reps this summer. I also heard he ignored his staff in the district once he won the Primary for judge so that he wouldn't feel bad when he closed the office and didn't help them get employment.

Tuesday, January 12, 2010 2:06:00 PM  
Blogger C. Briem said...

Well there.. the PG had this confirming Adam Ravenstahl was indeed running.

Funny only in that I know a few folks who were recently told pretty definitively he was not going to be a candidate.

Saturday, January 16, 2010 8:31:00 PM  

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