Wednesday, June 02, 2010

Brain Drgain

My friends at the state data center have just put out a short research note with some interesting stuff looking at Mobility and Migration in Pennsylvania 2008-9.   The main item centers around this figure which shows net migration by educational attainment for the state as a whole in 2008.

Which some I suspect will look at and say.. OMG... brain drain..What to do?!  Look at how we attact those with less than a hich school degree and lose those with higher levels of education.

yes.. but there is this big factoid out there that may shift your perspective on that graph.  By some measures Pennsylvania is routinely the largest net attractor of freshman matriculating into college from high school.   So it seems Pennsylvania is attracting 12K more freshman than it exports per year, of which many will earn degrees here.. that our net loss of those with bachelor's degrees roughly an order of magnitude less, you should wonder what is happening to most of those newly minted graduates..  might they be staying here?   The net loss of those with either a bachelor's degrees or higher is clearly a lot smaller than the number of folks the state is taking in before they earn their degrees.  i.e. we are 'producing' on net more degrees that we are losing to migration it seems to me.

So lots going on in the dynamics of course.. but the bottom line is that interpretation may not always be straightforward.  I personally want to do a study to see if there is a correlation between the net migration rates of those with less than a high school degree and states that are bit attractors of college matriculants.  Just seems to me rational that families who know they are going to be sending their kids to college in PA will have incentive to move here just soon enough to garner in-state tuition.  Call it a hypothesis.


Anonymous MH said...

Call it a hyothesis.

Welcome to our Ennsylvania. Notice there is no 'P' in our state. Please keep it that way.

Wednesday, June 02, 2010 3:37:00 PM  
Blogger Mark Arsenal said...

How I read this:

Pennsylvania is attracting college students who promptly go back where they came from after graduating.

What this means:

Gobs of out-of-state tuition money that doesn't have to come from domestic savings, and great, secure jobs for college professors.

Alternately, it means lots of very large families are moving to PA.

I can live with either of those.

Wednesday, June 02, 2010 3:51:00 PM  

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