Monday, June 14, 2010

I parse, you decide

The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel has several Pittsburgh comparisons in an analytic piece poking at the nexus of talent, educational attainment and city growth:  Does Milwaukee have enough college graduates to thrive?
 Mr. Feed uses that as a foil to connect it to some of the broader talent debates ongoing. We of course have been talking about this a bunch of late.

Also and related, I am not sure the table below will insert correctly. But catching up with a bit of news last week on some census estimates that just came out.  These are the latest estimates of the county's population by age range. It's the age range breakdown that is new.. we had the top line numbers reported a few months ago.

The raw data for this comes via here... and the following is my quick extract from that data for the county and the MSA.   Again, these are estimated breakdowns of estimated data all controlled for a population base set in the 2000 decennial census... so 9 years prior to the latest 2009 estimates.  Which all means you should parse in detail only with a grain of salt. But still some trends you can think about and at least keep an eye on.. and we will learn next year whether they are consistent with what the 2010 decennial census tells us.

Allegheny County


YEAR
Under 18
Age 18-24
Age 25-44
Age 45-64
Age 65+
Total Pop
2000280,341109,800361,410300,500227,8761,279,927
2001276,690111,838353,619306,091224,2811,272,519
2002272,945113,078346,435312,453220,5111,265,422
2003268,584113,083339,308318,433217,7881,257,196
2004263,798111,482332,360324,068214,1671,245,875
2005258,431109,826324,943328,719210,5641,232,483
2006253,432110,483318,747333,166207,4111,223,239
2007249,570111,367316,022336,766206,1971,219,922
2008245,668113,003315,033338,852205,6711,218,227
2009242,202114,483315,425341,983204,4011,218,494
Pgh MSA
YEAR
Under 18
Age 18-24
Age 25-44
Age 45-64
Age 65+
Total Pop
2000540,209196,435678,051584,259430,0692,429,023
2001533,448199,182663,249596,962425,3822,418,223
2002527,155201,266648,931611,082420,5392,408,973
2003520,053202,946635,229624,518417,4472,400,193
2004512,365202,726622,141637,845412,7422,387,819
2005503,353202,486608,447649,922408,1202,372,328
2006495,460203,319596,362661,136405,2052,361,482
2007488,560204,227589,323670,197404,8342,357,141
2008482,136205,935585,518675,604406,1982,355,391
2009475,909208,043581,923683,057406,0252,354,957

3 Comments:

Blogger joe said...

Can one breakout the 85+ from the 65+ in those tables?

Also interesting how most of the Pittsburgh MSA population aging in the last decade has been in Allegheny County (to the extent crossing 65 represents "aging," and we all know it doesn't), and even then the number has gone down!

Monday, June 14, 2010 5:03:00 PM  
Blogger C. Briem said...

I was trying to get the table to fit ont he page... but it's in the data.

but for a rule of thumb for us.. 65+ population peaked in 1995. 75+ in 2005 and 85+ will peak in 2015.. for each age range the population bracket will have about a decade of decline.. slow rebound.. Health improvements mean eventually we will reach same older populations as before. Though as you know better than most all, it will be a healthier older population.

In sheer %, the Pgh region hit 18-19% age 65+ in mid 1990's.. a proportion nation will not hit until after 2020 at least.. If you really look at some health adjusted number nobody has really come up with.. the nation still won't be comparable to where we were for a much longer period into the future.

Monday, June 14, 2010 8:31:00 PM  
Blogger joe said...

In the Year 2000 there were 28,251 elders age 85 and older in Allegheny County. In the year 2009 the number is 35,428.

So while there are 23,475 fewer people age 65 and older in the county, there are 7,177 more people age 85 and older.

It's our Greatest Generation's long goodbye. Our neighbors who were just 18 at end of the war turn 83 this year.

Tuesday, June 15, 2010 3:04:00 PM  

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