Random Balks Down at PNC Park
Is this year different? Some version of a Wald-Wolfowitz Runs test might help answer that, but we'll skip that for the Mark I eyeball analysis. Here is how far the Pirates have been out of first place tracked by date over each of the last 20 seasons. You can see the last winning season from 1992 in green and the 2011 season played thus far in red. The 18 seasons in between are not even worth distinguishing for the most part.
If you rotate the whole graphic at the right angle, you really do get the motion of a Pachinko ball.