Thursday, May 17, 2012

Sic Semper Census

So sometimes the media really confuses me.  The USAToday is running a story on some census data dumped today:  Census data shows minorities now a majority of U.S. births. OK.  but the picture they run with the story is of a Pittsburgh hospital with local babies wrapped in Terrible Towels.  So the picture is of the region that the story least applies to in the entire nation. Huh?

Probably a lot to parse in that data when I have time.  My quick look just at Allegheny County looks like the estimated population change between 2010 and 2011 is mostly being driven by an increase in population among those 25-44.  Not much growth, maybe even some decline in children and decline in elderly (65+)... so the news from earlier in the year that Allegheny county might be growing of late looks to be in those prime workforce years.  Reinforces my belief that it is a worker migration story. 

PG is running a story on how the Borough of Zelienople in Butler County is appealing their census 2010 population count: Zelienople Census County Questioned .   I had some long-ish comments on Zelienople's appeal in a a post here from February: The Politics of (really) small numbers. it is kind of an interesting question what is up.

The biggest news in Census land these days.   The House of Representatives apparently introduced an appropriations bill that will defund the entire American Community Survey program and other long-running programs. Not replace them with anything.  So in our data-driven world, one of the main sources of data will go away.    


Blogger BrianTH said...

If I want data about America's communities, I'll just look it up in the Bible, like God intended.

Anyway . . . so Allegheny County is experiencing the opposite of the steel bust diaspora, with a disproportionate number of young adult job-seekers showing up. Doesn't this mean we will eventually get a disproportionate number of births to deaths (that being the opposite of the disproportionate deaths to births the steel bust diaspora caused)?

Thursday, May 17, 2012 4:12:00 PM  
Blogger john b said...

November 10, 2010 was a date in the year that this trend began.

Remember this:


Thursday, May 17, 2012 5:07:00 PM  
Blogger john b said...

"All this population focus but a larger more menacing point is forgotten with the growing metros and shrinking metros nationally. There is only one state in the nation that when you take out immigration is NOT shrinking. Any guesses?

The Romans fell, the British Empire fell because of an overflow of immigration not assimilating.

Say what you want about pro or anti immigrant the fact of the matter 49 of 50 states are literally dying. We are balkanizing ourselves with people moving into the Georgias and Texases and Michigans that are merely passing through. 98% of this nation has something other then a zero population growth it has a negative population growth. For every Ohioan and Floridian and Oklahoman etc. etc. that exists today their will be 3/5ths a person 25 years from now."

Thursday, May 17, 2012 5:16:00 PM  
Anonymous MH said...

The Romans fell, the British Empire fell because of an overflow of immigration not assimilating.

Unless you count conquered people as "immigrants" I don't see how that could possibly be right for the British Empire. Even if you do, I still think it is wrong but only as wrong as the part about the Romans and not really, really wrong.

Thursday, May 17, 2012 5:24:00 PM  
Blogger john b said...

if only i could call stocks like this, 18 months before the numbers hit!

Thursday, May 17, 2012 5:29:00 PM  
Anonymous MH said...

I looked at the link this time and see we did this before. Got it.

Thursday, May 17, 2012 8:56:00 PM  
Blogger BrianTH said...

Hah, I was just about to post something about urbanization and birth rates, but MH saved me from my folly.

Friday, May 18, 2012 3:37:00 PM  

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