Monday, September 10, 2012

Sic Semper Counties

Remember the kerfuffle over municipal population estimates for 2011 a couple months ago. In re: Misreferencing Misoverestimated Population.  This makes pretty clear that their methodology this cycle was mostly an extrapolation of county trends spread evenly across municipalities.

Via my friends at the PA State Data Center is their map of the month of the same data for all Pennsylvania municipalities.   Anyone want to bet that county lines don't matter as much as it appears they do in the data shown in the map?


Anonymous BrianTH said...

Out of curiousity, why is there any subcounty variation at all? Just the group quarters thing? A rounding issue?

By the way, for others who might read this: I think Chris might well have been first out of the box on this issue, and I certainly saw him getting cited pretty widely in the relevant circles.

Monday, September 10, 2012 9:27:00 AM  
Blogger C. Briem said...

Mostly GQ.. realize that a change in color could be 0.1%. So for even what constitutes a sizable municipality in Pennsylvania of 5,000 folks... 0.1% is 5 people. Routine variation in dorm population or nursing homes will pop out at that scale.

Monday, September 10, 2012 10:01:00 AM  
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Monday, September 10, 2012 10:49:00 AM  
Anonymous The Wiz said...

In some of those northern counties the population is less than 500 so even if half a person moved in it would make a statistical difference as 0.1% would be 0.5 people

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