Wednesday, March 13, 2013

Where have you gone Joe?

So I have to admit I had a certain fondness for Joe Weinroth as mayoral candidate. Remember, he ran against Bob O in the general election 8 years ago. Takes a certain courage to run on principal in a race without any hope of winning. Still he wound up with 27% of the vote despite virtually zero $$ in campaign expenditures and even less support within the Republican party locally or beyond. Then you have to take into account that Bob O was an incredibly popular person going into that race, not just politically, but personally.

Contrast with what Mark DeSantis got just 2 years later despite unified and vigorous support of his party leadership and significant $$ raised and spent on the election. I am just guessing it was 100x the $$ Joe spent.  In the end he wound up with 34% despite running against a pretty bruised LR at the time. Some may remember all the bad PR over the previous year which certainly was responsible for a few of the % points over what Joe got in the previous cycle.

All comes to mind just because wonder if the Republican party will embrace its presumptive nominee for Mayor of Pittsburgh later this year. He certainly is a bit different from either Joe or Mark.. but no matter I suspect he will do better than, say, Harry Frost. Unless of course the endorsed Republican loses within the Republican primary as has happened in the past. Republicans can't really complain about losing elections locally when they lose within their own primary even. It means that even the few stout folks who remain registered as Republicans choose Democrats over their own candidates.

One question for any of the legal beagles out there.  What happens if one of the D's loses in the D primary but wins cross-filed in the R primary?

One advantage Josh has is the quality pre-produced infomercial paid for by National Geographic no less:



Anonymous Anonymous said...

If a Democrat gets more write-ins than the Republican candidate gets votes the Democrat will be on the ballot in November.

So in theory if Jack Wagner ran a write-in campaign as a Republican and wins, but Michael Lamb wins the Democratic Primary it would set up a November race of Michael Lamb vs. Jack Wagner.

The biggest obstacle that a Democrat on the Republican ticket would then face is how many people pull the Party lever. Many independent and 3rd party candidates don't even look at the party lever numbers in some races. If they did they would never run. In some State Legislative districts there is almost as many party levers pulled as the 50% number would be to win the race.

So in the city of Pittsburgh there might be 25,000 voters in a state legislative year where the President is on the ballot. There will be 10,000 people that pull the Democratic lever and 5,000 people that pull the Republican lever. Even if the third party candidate gets the other 10,000 votes, the third party candidate is still down 5,000 votes.

Thursday, March 14, 2013 12:01:00 PM  
Anonymous MH said...

I think it isn't very likely a Democrat wins the Republican primary this year. The Democratic primary looks more competitive this year, so there will probably be fewer people who prefer one of the Democratic candidates voting in the Republican primary. We're still well ahead of the registration deadline. Also, I looked up the 2011 primary and see that Wander got 473 votes for his last council run. I'd assume that's a reasonable the floor for an estimate of his vote in a mayoral primary.

Thursday, March 14, 2013 12:13:00 PM  
Anonymous MH said...

Weinroth got over 4,000 votes in his primary in 2005. If Wander beats that, it would be impressive.

Thursday, March 14, 2013 12:41:00 PM  
Anonymous Alex B. said...

I think that preppers are quite sad.

Living with the assumption that attacks are going to occur must be quite draining on daily life. Fear is a powerful force and likely skews realistic comprehension of events around you.

Friday, March 15, 2013 5:37:00 PM  
Anonymous MH said...

Yoda has similar thoughts.

Friday, March 15, 2013 6:04:00 PM  
Anonymous Joe Flaherty said...

Thanks for posting the video Chris. The entire episode, no less! Josh's star turn is SCTV-worthy and it would be hilarious if it weren't real life. Shocking that the local Republican party has come to this.

Monday, March 18, 2013 11:46:00 AM  

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