Friday, April 12, 2013

Voting with their feet - Everyone's moving to Pittsburgh

For today we will just crib from Jim Russell @burghdiaspora for this comment on the latest data dump from the mover czars.  U-Haul says, literally, U-Haul Ranks Pittsburgh as 2012 Top U.S. Growth City. You can read more of Jim's thoughts on the data: Pittsburgh and Migration Mesofacts.

So whatever the positive migration trends already in evidence, it seems like the ground truth trends are only accelerating.  I mean, U-Haul is about as close to primary data as it gets with regards to migration. 

So I know the nabobs are still out there, but eventually the data points add up. 


Anonymous Jim Nabobs said...

One note: U-Haul says Houston is the top "destination" city. Pittsburgh's not in the Top 10, or more, in that category. Our "growth" status points in part to the fact that we had nowhere to go but up.

Friday, April 12, 2013 12:48:00 PM  
Anonymous BrianTH said...

The "destination" measure appears not to take into account outbound moves, so you can't directly deduce how those cities would rank in terms of net moves.

The "growth" measure, in contrast, is looking at both inbound and outbound trips, but because they express it as a percentage gap you still can't directly deduce what that means in terms of gross net moves (all we know is there were at least 5000 total moves per ranked city).

Unfortunately I can't seem to find the actual report, just press releases about it, but maybe the report itself has those numbers. In any event, this doesn't appear to have anything to do with comparisons to recent history.

Saturday, April 13, 2013 1:07:00 AM  
Blogger C. Briem said...

B.TH beat me to the first point that the ranking with Houston on top appears to be a measure of one way flow, whereas the 'growth' ranking looks like a measure of net migration. So in terms of population change you care about the growth measure.

The relation to history comes from Pittsburgh not ranking as highly in the past. Coupled with the national trend for migration flows increasing from recession lows, the population impact should be increasing. That being said, their documentation of the details I agree is lacking.

Saturday, April 13, 2013 7:54:00 AM  
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