Monday, April 21, 2014

The year eveyone was supposed to move out of Allegheny County.

What has been the most quiescent of topics over the last year...  the state of property assessments in Allegheny County.  Wasn't the world going to end? Wasn't the competitiveness of Allegheny County going to evaporate if the assessment went forward? Everyone was going to pull up chocks and move just over the border, any border, to escape the spectre of uniform taxation. Remember all that ink?

Seriously...  not worth any follow up? We are now more than a year past the first post-assessment tax bills.  More than a couple years since any hope the new tax bills could be avoided. About time for the flood of folks moving out of Allegheny County to be well in play.

Brought to mind by some minor notes in the ether. One is from the oracle himself. See: Property assessment in Pennsylvania: the Judge behind widespread reassessment speaks out. Some newsworthy thoughts just in that.

If folks were moving out of Allegheny County to the suburbs, then it would show up in the "net domestic migration" stats that get reported every year. Go take a look at the county by county numbers reported last month. Allegheny County has sustained positive net migraton for the first time since I believe to be the 1920s and within Southwestern Pennsylvania, and more surprisingly Allegheny County if faring better than many suburban counties, many of which have seen domestic migration trend down in the most recent year.  Virtually the opposite result from what many predicted by all who opposed the assessment.  

Maybe there is causality here after all?


Anonymous DBR96A said...

Allegheny County is where all the action is, and most people who move to the Pittsburgh area from other cities and states realize this. The outlying metropolitan counties are merely along for the ride.

Since we're almost halfway through the 2010's, I'm going to make a bold prediction: I believe that Pittsburgh will do something for the 2020 Census that's more than likely never been seen before for a major metropolitan area, when the city proper and Allegheny County increase their populations while the metropolitan area at large posts another decrease. Natural population decline is killing Armstrong, Fayette and Westmoreland Counties, and growth in Butler and Washington Counties is decelerating. Meanwhile, it's steady as she goes in the urban core.

Monday, April 21, 2014 10:53:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I did sort of wonder why people seem to have forgotten about this. There was a news story last year about some young couple paying $9k property taxes for a 1500 sqft house in Wilkinsburg, feeling like they couldn't afford to pay it but couldn't sell either. I don't think Wilkinsburg has reduced their millage yet and I haven't heard a peep out of the media about this in the last year.

Monday, April 21, 2014 12:51:00 PM  

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