Is the City of Pittsburgh growing? Or not?
So in a week and a half we will get the latest dump of municipal level population estimates for the nation. The primary interest here is likely to be the latest datapoint on population trends for the City of Pittsburgh. Why? There is an ongoing meme that the City of Pittsburgh is growing. But is it?
Undisputed is that the City of Pittsburgh has pretty much been shrinking unabated for over seven decades. Some say the City stopped growing in 1950, but parsers before me figured out that actually the most of the growth the city of Pittsburgh experienced in the 1930s and 1940s was due to municipal annexations. Net that out and decline may go back at least to 1930. Nonetheless, a long time.,
So you can see why some might make a big deal of the first big sign that the City of Pittsburgh might be growing came with the release of population estimates for 2011. You can see the story from that time that pretty much has generated the persistent idea that the City of Pittsburgh is growing. PG: (July 2, 2012) Census data shows unusual rise in (City of) Pittsburgh population.
Basically there was at the time a pretty noticeable net gain of 1,780 residents in the city between 2010 and 2011. That is a nontrivial gain for a city of 300K people, especially a city that has not grown in so long. But did it happen? Even at the time, you can read my quote in the article questioning what was going on in the data. In short, and I've gone into this in more detail in the past, the gain between 2010 and 2011 was an artifact two things. One was an error in some group quarters data here in Pittsburgh, specifically a dormitory that was assumed to have been missed in the 2010 census, but actually did close. The second issue was a change in methodology the census used just for that year in estimating subcounty (i.e. municipal) population estimates. The impact of that change I explained more here: Newgeography: Misrepresenting Misoverestimated Population.
Still, the data said the city was growing, a factoid repeated to this day. But it turns out the Census gnomes themselves were not so sure. If you look at the revisions to 2011 data in subsequent data releases you see that the population gain mostly went away in data released the very next year. I’ve put this graph up here before, but here are the various releases of population estimates for the City of Pittsburgh.
You will see that ongoing revisions have modified that early population jump. Note it didn’t go away, and that is pretty historic for the city no matter, but the population gain was only a fraction what was initially reported. Not +1,700 or so, but maybe +400. Small gains did continue into 2012 and 2013 but then population began dropping again. In fact, between 2013 and 2015, the city has pretty much dropped in population by more than was gained in the earlier years. Folk tend to overlook the latter observation. We will see what the latest data brings.
Given that we already know the population estimates for Allegheny County in 2016 shows a significant decline from the year before, it is inevitable that the city of Pittsburgh will show a decline as well. The bigger question as to whether one thinks the population estimates are accurately depicting what is true on the ground is a bigger topic. I’ve gone into problems with building permits data – a key input for these population estimates – in the city of Pittsburgh in the past. But really the very common debate I get into of late is from folks who believe all the housing they have seen constructed in Pittsburgh’s East End of late is indicative of city population growth. I always have to remind everyone that Pittsburgh is a city of 90 neighborhoods and the vast bulk of them are still experiencing much of the same fundamental trends that has caused decline for decades. With just a few exceptions, aging and natural population decline is still ongoing if you move away from the areas of the city dominated by student populations. Now on top of that you also see lower income populations moving out of the city as they are drawn to lower cost housing outside of the city. If you really disbelieve that, cross a river or something and you may get the picture. Anyway.. that is all just preparatory for those who are planning on parsing the next round of data, with population estimates for 2016, which will come on May 25.
Undisputed is that the City of Pittsburgh has pretty much been shrinking unabated for over seven decades. Some say the City stopped growing in 1950, but parsers before me figured out that actually the most of the growth the city of Pittsburgh experienced in the 1930s and 1940s was due to municipal annexations. Net that out and decline may go back at least to 1930. Nonetheless, a long time.,
So you can see why some might make a big deal of the first big sign that the City of Pittsburgh might be growing came with the release of population estimates for 2011. You can see the story from that time that pretty much has generated the persistent idea that the City of Pittsburgh is growing. PG: (July 2, 2012) Census data shows unusual rise in (City of) Pittsburgh population.
Basically there was at the time a pretty noticeable net gain of 1,780 residents in the city between 2010 and 2011. That is a nontrivial gain for a city of 300K people, especially a city that has not grown in so long. But did it happen? Even at the time, you can read my quote in the article questioning what was going on in the data. In short, and I've gone into this in more detail in the past, the gain between 2010 and 2011 was an artifact two things. One was an error in some group quarters data here in Pittsburgh, specifically a dormitory that was assumed to have been missed in the 2010 census, but actually did close. The second issue was a change in methodology the census used just for that year in estimating subcounty (i.e. municipal) population estimates. The impact of that change I explained more here: Newgeography: Misrepresenting Misoverestimated Population.
Still, the data said the city was growing, a factoid repeated to this day. But it turns out the Census gnomes themselves were not so sure. If you look at the revisions to 2011 data in subsequent data releases you see that the population gain mostly went away in data released the very next year. I’ve put this graph up here before, but here are the various releases of population estimates for the City of Pittsburgh.
You will see that ongoing revisions have modified that early population jump. Note it didn’t go away, and that is pretty historic for the city no matter, but the population gain was only a fraction what was initially reported. Not +1,700 or so, but maybe +400. Small gains did continue into 2012 and 2013 but then population began dropping again. In fact, between 2013 and 2015, the city has pretty much dropped in population by more than was gained in the earlier years. Folk tend to overlook the latter observation. We will see what the latest data brings.
Given that we already know the population estimates for Allegheny County in 2016 shows a significant decline from the year before, it is inevitable that the city of Pittsburgh will show a decline as well. The bigger question as to whether one thinks the population estimates are accurately depicting what is true on the ground is a bigger topic. I’ve gone into problems with building permits data – a key input for these population estimates – in the city of Pittsburgh in the past. But really the very common debate I get into of late is from folks who believe all the housing they have seen constructed in Pittsburgh’s East End of late is indicative of city population growth. I always have to remind everyone that Pittsburgh is a city of 90 neighborhoods and the vast bulk of them are still experiencing much of the same fundamental trends that has caused decline for decades. With just a few exceptions, aging and natural population decline is still ongoing if you move away from the areas of the city dominated by student populations. Now on top of that you also see lower income populations moving out of the city as they are drawn to lower cost housing outside of the city. If you really disbelieve that, cross a river or something and you may get the picture. Anyway.. that is all just preparatory for those who are planning on parsing the next round of data, with population estimates for 2016, which will come on May 25.
25 Comments:
شراء اثاث مستعمل
شراء الاثاث المستعمل بالرياض
شراء اثاث مستعمل شمال الرياض
شركات شراء الاثاث المستعمل بالرياض
ارقام شراء الاثاث المستعمل بالرياض
محلات شراء الاثاث المستعمل بالرياض
حقين شراء الاثاث المستعمل بالرياض
The information is very good and very useful. I really like it and I am also waiting for the post information. And do not forget my friends visit my website :) thank you
Obat Jantung Bocor
Obat Penyubur Kandungan
Obat Radang Kantung Empedu
Obat Edema Paru
Obat Batu Ginjal
Obat Tradisional Bronkitis
Obat Tradisional Gondongan
شركة عزل خزانات بالخبر
شركة كشف تسربات المياه بالدمام
شركة كشف تسربات المياه بالخبر
Dear customer All of us suffer from problems at home difficult to solve and may pose a great danger to your life and life of those you love such as harmful insects dangerous, which threaten human life and the transmission of diseases and cause a lot of physical problems So provided theAl Manarah Company has all kinds of insects
شركة تنظيف منازل بالرياض
شركة تنظيف سجاد بالرياض
شركة تنظيف بالرياض
شركة تنظيف مجالس بارياض
شركة مكافحة حشرات بالرياض
شركة تنظيف مكيفات بالرياض
شركة نقل اثاث بابها
شركة نقل اثاث بخميس مشيط
شركة كشف تسربات المياه بخميس مشيط
شركة كشف تسربات المياه بابها
شركة مكافحة حشرات بخميس مشيط
شركة مكافحة حشرات بابها
شركة تنظيف شقق بخميس مشيط
شركة تنظيف منازل بابها
شركة تنظيف بخميس مشيط
شركة تنظيف بابها
شركة رش مبيدات بالخبر
شركة رش مبيدات بالقطيف
شركة المناره تمتلك عمالة محترفة لتنظيف وتعقيم خزانات المياه بجميع انواع سواء بلاستيك او خراسنية
عميلي العزيز تقدم لقم شركه المنارة انضف تنظيف الخزنات المياه با دمام
في هي شركه المنارة تقوم بي عمل مميز بل اخر
شركة تنظيف خزانات بالخبر
شركة تنظيف خزانات بالقطيف
عزيزي العميل نعلم ان وقتك ثمين فنقدم لك افضل شركة تنظيف
خدمات التنظيف من الخدمات المهمة التي يجب القيام بها من حين لاخر
نقوم بتنظيف الشقق والفلل والمنازل
بافضل الادوات والاجهزة الحديثة
نقوم بتنظيف المجالس والموكيت والستائر وجميع المفروشات
تقدم لقم شركه المنارة العرود القوي ول مل المميز
شركة تنظيف بالخبر
شركة تنظيف بالقطيف
عزيزي العميل للاطمئنان علي منزلك يجب فحصه من الحين للاخر
لضمان عدم وجود تسربات مياه تقضي علي اساس المنزل
تقم لقم شركه المنارة
لفريق العمل المميز في ازي حولت تتمان علي منزلك بي سحا وي سلامه
فقوم بران علي شركة المنارة
شركة كشف تسربات المياه بالخبر
شركة كشف تسربات المياه بالقطيف
انسداد المجاري من المشاكل الخطيرة التي تواجهك عزيز العميل حيث تتكاثر الجراثيم والحشرات والرائحة الكريهه
فشركة المناره تمتلك سيارات تسليك المجاري وشفط وتنظيف البيارات تاتيك باقصي سرعه
وي افضل الاجهزة الحديثه في هي شركة المنارة
افضل شركه في دمام وتقوم بل عمل المميز
شركة تسليك مجاري بالخبر
شركة تسليك مجاري بالقطيف
عميلي العزيز تقدم لقم شركه المنارة العمل المميز في ادا اتسليك المجاري فل قطبف فل الخبر فل الجبلي فل ابها
فل بيشا فل خميس مشيط ول لخي بما ياعني اشوارع وطروق في ارواح ول ما المعكعكا
شركة المنارة ارخص شركا فل القطيف بما ياعني ان
شركه المنارة هي ارخص شركه في دمام
وشغل علي مضار 24 ساعه
www0823
manolo blahnik
ralph lauren uk
vibram fivefingers
christian louboutin shoes
air jordan 4
pandora
canada goose jackets
louboutin shoes
ralph lauren outlet
hugo boss outlet
https://myserviceshome.com/company-cleaning-houses-in-riyadh/
https://myserviceshome.com/isolating-surfaces-in-riyadh/
https://myserviceshome.com/leak-detection-company-in-riyadh/
https://myserviceshome.com/furniture-transport-in-medina/
https://myserviceshome.com/cleaning-houses-in-riyadh/
www11.12
canada goose jackets
pandora jewelry
christian louboutin outlet
nike shoes
ecco shoes
ugg boots clearance
coach outlet
adidas clothing
new balance shoes
thank you
chirurgie esthetique tout compris tunisie
lifting visage tunisie
reduction mammaire tunisie
شركة المتحدة
دليل شركات نقل العفش
شركة نقل اثاث بالمدينة المنورة
شركة نقل اثاث بالرياض
شركة نقل اثاث بجدة
شركة نقل اثاث بمكة
شركة نقل اثاث بالطائف
شركة نقل اثاث بينبع
شركة نقل اثاث بالدمام
شركة نقل اثاث بنجران
شركة نقل اثاث بخميس مشيط
شركة نقل اثاث بابها
شركة نقل اثاث بحائل
شركة نقل اثاث ببريدة
شركة نقل اثاث بالقصيم
شركة نقل اثاث بحفر الباطن
شركة نقل اثاث برابغ
Good news..
chord gitar
نقل عفش
شركة نقل عفش بجدة
تخفيضات ايكيا
نقل عفش جدة
نقل عفش بجده
شركة نقل عفش
شركة نقل عفش بجدة نقلتك
شركات نقل العفش بجدة
ارخص شركة شحن سيارات داخل السعودية
شركة تنظيف مكيفات بالرياض
شركة تنظيف كنب بالرياض
افضل شركة تنظيف مجالس بالرياض
شركة تنظيف خزانات بالرياض
شركة تنظيف بجازان
شركة تنظيف منازل بجازان
شركة تنظيف خزانات بجازان
شركة تنظيف مجالس بجازان
شركة تنظيف سجاد بجازان
شركة تنظيف مكيفات بجازان
شركة عزل فوم بجازان
شركة عزل اسطح بجازان
شركة عزل خزانات المياه بجازان
شركة تركيب طارد الحمام بالرياض
شركة مكافحة بق الفراش بالرياض
افضل شركة مكافحة النمل الاسود بالرياض
شركة مكافحة الثعابين بالرياض
شركة مكافحة الذباب بالرياض
شركة نقل عفش بالرياض وجدة والدمام والخبر والجبيل اولقطيف والاحساء والرياض وجدة ومكة المدينة المنورة والخرج والطائف وخميس مشيط وبجدة افضل شركة نقل عفش بجدة نعرضها مجموعة الفا لنقل العفش بمكة والخرج والقصيم والطائف وتبوك وخميس مشيط ونجران وجيزان وبريدة والمدينة المنورة وينبع افضل شركات نقل الاثاث بالجبيل والطائف وخميس مشيط وبريدة وعنيزو وابها ونجران المدينة وينبع تبوك والقصيم الخرج حفر الباطن والظهران
شركة نقل عفش بجدة
شركة نقل عفش بالمدينة المنورة
شركة نقل اثاث بالرياض
شركة نقل عفش بالدمام
شركة نقل عفش بالطائف
شركة نقل عفش بمكة
شركة نقل عفش بينبع
شركة نقل عفش بينبع
شركة نقل عفش بنجران
شركة نقل عفش بحائل
شركة نقل عفش ببريدة
شركة نقل عفش بتبوك
شركة نقل عفش بالظهران
شركة نقل عفش برابغ
شركة نقل عفش بالباحه
شركة مكافحة حشرات بالدمام
شركة كشف تسربات بالدمام
شركة عزل اسطح بالدمام
شركة تسليك مجاري بالدمام
شركة تنظيف كنب بالدمام
شركة تنظيف مساجد بالدمام
شركة تنظيف سجاد بالدمام
شركة تنظيف خزانات بالدمام
شركة تنظيف وصيانة مسابح بالدمام
شركة رش مبيدات بالخرج
افضل شركة تنظيف بالخرج
شركة تنظيف مجالس بالخرج
شركة تنظيف خزانات بالخرج
شركة تنظيف موكيت بالخرج
شركة تسليك مجارى بالخرج
شركة تنظيف مكيفات بالرياض
شركة تنظيف موكيت بالرياض
شركة تنظيف كنب بالرياض
شركة تنظيف خزانات بالرياض
شركة جلي بلاط بالرياض
FOGGY DAZE DELIVERY SERVICE
SISTAH MODUPE'S RAW VEGAN SOUL FOOD
WILLIAMSBRIDGE TAVERN
2227 IRVING SEAFOOD MARKET INC
SUDAM KOREAN CUISINE
ACQUOLINA
OCTOPUS FISH AND CHICKEN
CDOLPHIN FISH & CHICKEN
PRIDE OF THE MEDITERRANEAN
Post a Comment
<< Home